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DFO stock assessment predicts return to 'average' year for capelin

DFO scientists are predicting the capelin stock will be lower in 2025 than it was in 2024 when it was close to its post collapse high.

Capelin stock was close to a post-collapse high in 2024 says stock assessment biologist Ron Lewis

Dozens of capelin dying in a tangled pile on a beach after spawning.
Capelin are an important source of food for fish, sea mammals and birds. (CBC)

Fisheries and Oceans Canada (DFO) scientists are predicting Newfoundland and Labrador's capelin stock will be smaller in 2025 than it was a year ago.

"Our capital stock was close to its post-collapse high in 2024 and this was likely due to good feeding conditions as well as a very good sea ice timing in the year related to our biomass forecast for last year," said DFO stock assessment biologist Ron Lewis on Tuesday.

Lewis said it looks like 2025 will be different.

"We're predicting a somewhat more average year class for 2025," he said. "What we've observed in the immediate preceding years is a food availability and biological conditions that are more average and it predicts for us basically a decline in biomass and a return to kind of more average levels for 2025."

A bald, middle-aged man wearing glasses speaks in a board room decorated with posters showing turbulent ocean waves.
Stock assessment biologist Ron Lewis spoke with reporters on Tuesday for the release of the DFO's capelin stock assessment for 2025. (CBC)

The DFO says the capelin acoustic biomass index was 647 kilotonnes in 2024, according to its spring survey, and 333 kilotonnes in 2023.

The capelin stock collapsed in 1991 and the fisheries department says the stock remains well below the 1982-1990 period when thousands of kilotonnes were found annually.

WATCH | Sea ice and feeding conditions likely contributed to 2024 capelin numbers: 

Capelin stocks are expected to take a dip in 2025, DFO says

21 hours ago
Duration 0:59
Scientists with Fisheries and Oceans Canada predict the province’s capelin stock will be smaller this year. Its annual assessment helps determine the total allowable catch for 2025.

The department says it will be holding advisory meetings with stakeholders in the coming weeks.

It says stock assessment advice, input from stakeholders, and fisheries policy, will be considered in developing this year's management approach.

In 2024, the total allowable catch (TAC) for capelin was 14,533 tonnes and 97 per cent of that TAC was landed.

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