Syrian forces wage massive campaign to recapture Aleppo
At least 23 civilians killed by airstrikes that shook the city on Tuesday
With international diplomacy in tatters and the U.S. focused on its election, the Syrian government and its Russian allies are seizing the moment to wage an all-out campaign to recapture Aleppo, unleashing the most destructive bombing of the past five years and pushing into the centre of the Old City.
Desperate residents describe horrific scenes in Syria's largest city and onetime commercial centre, with hospitals and underground shelters hit by indiscriminate airstrikes that the UN said may amount to a war crime.
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Debris covers streets lined with bombed-out buildings, trapping people in their neighbourhoods and hindering rescue workers. On Tuesday, activists reported at least 23 people killed in airstrikes on two districts in the rebel-held part of Aleppo.
The battle for Aleppo is unlikely to be an easy one for government forces, because the isolated rebels say they are determined to "fight until the end" to defend their neighbourhoods. Insurgents outside the city could also attack government troops to try to reduce pressure on comrades trapped inside.
Turning point
If government forces and their allies capture the rebel-held eastern neighbourhoods, it would be a turning point in the 5½-year civil war that has killed more than 250,000 people and displaced half of Syria's population.
Over the course of the conflict, the government has slowly regained control of major cities. Its aim appears to be securing what some analysts call "useful Syria" — a portion containing the four largest cities of Aleppo, Damascus, Homs and Hama, along with its Mediterranean coast.
Aleppo is the last of the major cities still being contested, and it could take government forces between six months and a year to capture it, unless they aim to "annihilate" the politically significant city, a Western diplomat told The Associated Press. The envoy, who is familiar with the ceasefire talks that have faltered, spoke on condition of anonymity because of his government's regulations.
Once all of "useful Syria" is in government hands, international diplomacy would have to determine the fate of the jihadi-controlled northwest and those areas dominated by the main Kurdish militia and the Islamic State militant group.
President Bashar al-Assad "doesn't want a negotiation," the diplomat said, adding that "the Russians wouldn't or couldn't stop him" from attacking Aleppo.
A divided city
In Russia, Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov told Syria's ambassador that Moscow has "a firm intention to continue providing assistance to the Syrian government in fighting terrorism and to help achieve the soonest possible political settlement of the Syrian crisis."
Opposition forces control almost half of Aleppo, the only major city where rebels hold such a large area. The UN says more than 250,000 people live in the rebel-held areas, while more than one million are in the government-controlled part that is usually subjected to shelling.
Assad's government controls the capital of Damascus, except for two small neighbourhoods. It also controls all of Homs and Hama, the third- and fourth-largest cities.
Since the one-week ceasefire brokered by Russia and the U.S. ended Sept. 19, Aleppo has been under intense Russian and Syrian airstrikes, killing more than 200 civilians, knocking down entire buildings, disrupting water supplies and targeting civil defence centres. At least one of the eight remaining clinics in the city was put out of service.
Had the ceasefire held, the U.S. and Russia were supposed to announce the establishment of a joint implementation centre to co-ordinate attacks against the Islamic State group and al-Qaeda's affiliate in Syria, formerly known as the Nusra Front.
Failed ceasefire
Attempts to revive the ceasefire during the UN General Assembly failed, and U.S. Ambassador Samantha Powers harshly criticized Russia, saying Moscow was practising "barbarism."
Last week, the Syrian army ordered civilians to stay away from rebel positions, saying a ground offensive would begin. On Tuesday, government forces captured the rebel-held central neighbourhood of Farafra near the Old City.
Residents are stunned by the intensity of the bombing on areas that have seen a sharp increase in food prices due to the siege, which tightened earlier this month.
Ibrahim Alhaj, a member of the Syrian Civil Defence, said his parents' house was shelled, and he was only able to save them because he lives nearby.
Assad "listens to no one — not the United Nations, not anyone," a desperate and exhausted Alhaj said. "Is there no humanity in this world?"
Clinics have been flooded with casualties in the past week. Many had to be treated on tiled floors covered with blood.