Science

'Lost' asteroid to fly between moon and Earth

On Nov. 30, 2010, astronomers discovered asteroid 2010 WC9. However, it soon faded from view and was lost. But now it's back, and it's going to whiz past Earth.

Asteroid 2010 WC9 was discovered and then lost

An asteroid similar to the one illustrated here was discovered in 2010, but astronomers were unable to track it. Now it's back and will pass between Earth and the moon. (NASA/JPL-Caltech)

Astronomers discovered asteroid 2010 WC9 on Nov. 30, 2010. However, it soon faded from view and was lost from view. But now it's back, and it's whizzing past Earth.

Astronomers estimate the asteroid to be between 50 to 100 metres in diameter (though it could be larger). It will pass about half the distance between Earth and the moon — about 200,000 kilometres — travelling around 12.8 kilometres a second.

Between May 14 and 15, asteroid 2010 WC9 will pass between the orbit of Earth and the moon. (NASA/JPL)

The asteroid was discovered with the Catalina Sky Survey, a NASA-funded program with three telescopes searching for near-Earth objects. Just 10 days later, it had almost faded from view. 

"We knew that it would likely come close in May of 2018. We didn't know how close, but we had ruled out any chance that it would hit the Earth," Paul Chodas, manager of the Center for Near Earth Object Studies at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, told CBC News.

The asteroid was found again just last week. But there's no need to panic about any future encounters. While the asteroid is coming fairly close to Earth in cosmological terms, it's in no danger of colliding with us. Using the data acquired so far, scientists have calculated 2010 WC9's orbit to 2158 and this is the closest it will come to Earth within that time frame.

"Asteroids this size approach about this close about once every decade or so, on average," Chodas said. "So it's a fairly rare event, a special opportunity, a chance to observe it scientifically." 

Scientists are taking advantage of the close pass and hope observations can shed light on the asteroid's composition and on the evolution of our solar system.

Astronomers estimate that asteroids this size impact Earth about once every 6,000 years. Most of those on a collision course with Earth will break up in the atmosphere. The greatest danger would be from an explosive air burst as the asteroid hits the atmosphere, similar to the one over Chelyabinsk, Russia, in 2013. However, that asteroid was significantly smaller, measuring approximately 20 metres.

How to see it

If you'd like to see it for yourself, the Northolt Branch Observatories in London will be carrying it live on their Facebook page. You can also watch it by visiting the Slooh website tonight at 8 p.m. ET.

There are several projects searching for potentially hazardous asteroids, though, lucky for us, so far none have been confirmed to be a danger to Earth.

NASA estimates that about 90 per cent of all asteroids one kilometre in diameter and larger, have been found.

Astronomers hope to further observe asteroid 2010 WC9 in order to better refine its orbit.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Nicole Mortillaro

Senior Science Reporter

Based in Toronto, Nicole covers all things science for CBC News. As an amateur astronomer, Nicole can be found looking up at the night sky appreciating the marvels of our universe. She is the editor of the Journal of the Royal Astronomical Society of Canada and the author of several books. In 2021, she won the Kavli Science Journalism Award from the American Association for the Advancement of Science for a Quirks and Quarks audio special on the history and future of Black people in science. You can send her story ideas at nicole.mortillaro@cbc.ca.