Forecast 'over-predicted' winds Wednesday, Chatham expecting 65km/h gusts Thursday
According to some forecast models, wind gusts could peak around 65km/h around midnight
The Lower Thames Valley Conservation Authority said Thursday's winds could land Erie Shore Drive a repeat of Tuesday's flooding.
A strong wind warning for Lake Erie remains in effect, but the conservation authority said Wednesdays forecasts ended up "over-predicting" the winds. Gusts peaked around 35km/h.
Thursday morning winds were light out of the west, but LTVCA said the forecast calls for the winds to switch to the southwest again and climb as the day progresses.
According to some forecast models, wind gusts could peak around 65km/h around midnight. Marine forecasts are calling for waves reaching two metres high.
The LTVCA said forecasted winds are similar to those that caused extensive damage and spurred the state of emergency issued Tuesday.
According to Brent Ross, spokesperson for the Ministry of the Solicitor General, a state of emergency can remain in place for as long as the municipality deems necessary.
"During an emergency declaration, the municipality gains the power to make emergency orders to protect life and property provided they do not contravene the law, including requiring evacuations," said Ross.
A voluntary evacuation remains in place, with some Erie Shore Drive residents choosing to remain at home. According to Ross, the municipality has to determine if that evacuation of voluntary or mandatory.
Jason Wintermute, with the conservation authority, said area residents are trying to look on the bright side.
"[They're] trying to put a good spin on it," said Wintermute. "Trying to bring the community together. But it was tough for them."
Wintermute said the forecast for the next 24 hours brings concerns about structural damages to homes, beyond just water damage.
"Especially those ones that haven't had a chance to repair or recover," said Wintermute. "If they had a broken window or something and they haven't had a chance to fix it ... that's just an easier opportunity for water to get into the house."
Erie Shore Drive remains particularly vulnerable — Tuesday's floods damaged the structural integrity of the roadway and there has been no time to make all of the repairs. The road has been closed to all traffic.