Saskatchewan

How the Saskatchewan election map changes this time around

The election map of Saskatchewan has changed since voters went to the polls five years ago.

Incumbent candidate you voted for last time might not be in same constituency this time

Voters in Saskatchewan will head to the polls on April 4. (Elections Saskatchewan)

The election map of Saskatchewan has changed since voters went to the polls five years ago.

For some people, that means the incumbent candidate you voted for last time might not be on the ballot in your constituency this time. 

Or, you and your immediate neighbours who perhaps elected an NDP candidate last time, might now be in a constituency with an incumbent from the Saskatchewan Party. 

There are three new constituencies that have been added in redistribution: 

  • Regina Pasqua.
  • Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota.
  • Saskatoon Silverspring-Sutherland.

CBC News has done a poll-by-poll analysis of the redistribution, and using the results of last vote across the new boundaries, the Saskatchewan Party would win all three of the new constituencies.

The changes don't end there.  

Twelve old constituencies get new names (shown below in parentheses) along with their new boundaries:
(CBC)

There are only three constituencies in the whole province where the redistributed result is exactly the same as the result of the last vote.

They are:

  • Athabasca
  • Cumberland
  • Cut Knife-Turtleford  

Political number crunchers will need to drill pretty deep into the numbers to find any political advantage for either of the major parties.

There are only eight constituencies where the margins of victory have changed significantly (+/-  approximately 50 per cent).

In seven of the eight, it's the Saskatchewan Party that sees its margin of victory shrink.

Martensville was won by the Sask. Party by 5,710 votes in 2011. They would have won the new constituency of Martensville-Warman by 3,716 votes.

The Sask. Party won Moose Jaw Wakamow by 201 votes last time, but after redistribution that win is reduced to a margin of just four votes.

The Sask. Party also took a hit in Regina Douglas Park where its candidate won by 904 votes last time. The win after redistribution is by a margin of 397 votes.

In Saskatoon, two constituencies won by the Sask. Party last time have their winning margins cut significantly. The Sask. Party margin in Saskatoon Fairview goes from 247 votes to 128 votes.

In Saskatoon Southeast, the huge Sask. Party win by 6,005 votes last time gets cut to just 3,399. 

However, that loss of votes is offset by the redistributed result in the new neighbouring constituency of Saskatoon Stonebridge-Dakota which the Sask. Party would have won by a comfortable 3,690 votes.

The New Democrats take a redistribution hit in one constituency, but see a benefit in another.

In Regina Rosemont, the NDP winning margin drops from 822 votes to 461 votes. But, in Regina Lakeview, the NDP margin of victory goes up from just 146 votes in the last election to 496 votes after redistribution.

With all the changes, Elections Saskatchewan has set up a constituency finder to help voters find out exactly what constituency they are in. 

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Bob Weiers

Elections

Bob Weiers is a Senior Producer at CBC News, primarily assigned to elections and live events. He's been covering politics since joining the CBC in 1990. His first election as a member of the CBC Core Group (the production team that travels the country setting up all that's needed to do an election night show) was in Alberta in 2004. He has worked on every one since.