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Ryan Snoddon: Don't give up on July just yet!

The first few days of the month have felt more like November than July, but history shows things can warm up, writes CBC meteorologist Ryan Snoddon.
The lifeguard at Bannerman Park pool was wearing a wetsuit Tuesday amid single-digit temperatures. (CBC)

There's no sugar coating it. It's been a chilly start to the month here in St. John's. 

However, I thought I would pass along a few recent examples of years when July started cooler than average, yet still finished near or even above average.

We actually don't have to go back that far. The Julys of 2010, 2009, 2007 and 2004 all stumbled out of the gate, but recovered quite nicely in the final three weeks. 

July typically is warmer in St. John's in its final weeks than its cooler opening. (Ryan Snoddon/CBC)

In July 2004, where we had our coolest start in recent memory, we really didn't get on track until the 13th day of the month. However, we ended July with 16 of 18 days reaching 20° or warmer and below-average rainfall. 

August of that year was a beauty, with above average temperatures, including 16 straight days at 20° and 24 days overall. It was also drier than average. 

July 2007 stumbled until the 10th and then went on a great run with 20 of the final 22 days reaching 20° or warmer with near average rainfall. August was warm with average temperatures, but a few really wet days, putting rainfall above average. 

July 2009 also rounded the corner on the 8th. Warm air sputtered a bit again later in the month, but we still finished with 17 of the final 23 days at 20°, and overall it was a dry month. August 2009 was warmer but wetter than average.

In 2010, July turned around on the 8th and went for an impressive run with 22 of the final 23 days reaching 20° or warmer with near average rainfall. August was cooler, but drier than average.

We have some much warmer temperatures in the forecast for St. John's on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, and although the weekend looks cool, there are signs of warmer air returning again next week. 

So for now, this weatherman is recommending that we hang on to those white towels and keep our fingers crossed that the best is still yet to come.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Ryan Snoddon

Meteorologist

Ryan Snoddon is CBC's meteorologist in Nova Scotia and New Brunswick.