New Brunswick

Brian Gallant's approval ratings falling steadily, says Angus Reid poll

Brian Gallant's approval ratings as premier of New Brunswick are falling according to the latest poll by the Angus Reid Institute.

Angus Reid poll shows rating on decline since December 2015

Premier Brian Gallant says Accreon is helping New Brunswickers by providing jobs as well as health care solutions. (CBC)

Brian Gallant's approval ratings as premier of New Brunswick are down 10 per cent since December 2015 according to the latest poll by the Angus Reid Institute. 

The latest approval ratings for Gallant, who marked his second anniversary in office on Wednesday, have gone down two per cent to 24 per cent from 26 per cent in May. That apparent drop matches the poll's margin of error.

However, the poll shows Gallant's popularity is down by 10 per cent since December 2015.

Gallant's promise for a balanced budget if he was elected has not happened as his plan has run into problems since he began to govern in September 2014. 

Gallant proposed to voters during the September election campaign that year a package of new capital and program spending totalling at its height $340 million per year.

To pay for that and eliminate a predicted $387-million deficit Gallant confidently proposed a combination of spending cuts and two tax increases — neither of which average citizens would have to pay.

That, along with economic growth, would balance the books with a $70.6 million surplus in four years according to Liberal figures, or at worst six years if unexpected financial troubles hit.

But the math behind the Liberal platform fell apart almost immediately and it has been forcing Gallant to govern in a way he used to criticize.

This graph shows Premier Brian Gallant's approval rating since December 2014, four months after he took office. (Agnus Reid)

In the poll, while 24 per cent approve of Gallant as a premier, 63 per cent don't and 12 per cent are unsure. 

The Angus Reid Institute ranks him at the seventh in popularity among premiers across Canada. 

His counterpart in Nova Scotia, Liberal Premier Stephen McNeil, saw his approval rating go down three per cent after an increase in May. He ranks as the third most popular premier in Canada. 

Angus Reid said the drops for both Gallant and McNeil are small and statistically insignificant. 

But Newfoundland-Labrador Premier Dwight Ball saw his ratings increase by four per cent from 17 in May to 21 in September. He sits in eighth place among his peers.

Angus Reid does not provide a rating for Prince Edward Island because of its small population

The poll results were based on an online survey of 4,629 Canadian adults in what the institute says was a randomized and representative sample of Angus Reid Forum panelists from Sept. 5-11.

A probabilistic sample of this size carries a margin of error of plus or minus 2 per cent, 19 times out of 20.

With files from Robert Jones