Manitoba·Analysis

Maclean's racism label to budget woes: Can Bowman stay popular?

At the midpoint of this council term, it's worth taking a look at the best and worst of the Bowman administration during the two years in the rear-view mirror — as well as a peek at what lies ahead in the two years to go before the 2018 election.

Two years down, two years to go: Mayor at the crossroads of his first term

Mayor Brian Bowman has conducted himself fairly well during his first two years in office. The next two will determine whether he can orchestrate a second electoral victory. (Instagram @mayorbrianbowman)

As Brian Bowman nears the midpoint of his first term as mayor, he describes Winnipeg as a more confident city bolstered by infrastructure investments and less opaque governance.

​"I've been very pleased we've been able to move in the right direction when it comes to greater openness and transparency at city hall," Bowman said this week, as the two-year anniversary of his election-night victory approached.

On Oct. 22, 2014, the lawyer with little political experience trounced former NDP MP and MLA Judy Wasylycia-Leis and five other mayoral candidates in a race where voters clearly preferred a new face to lead a city that was reeling from a series of capital construction and procurement scandals.

Rarely a day has gone by without Bowman uttering the phrase "openness and transparency" as if it were a mantra capable of insulating Winnipeg — and his administration, by extension — from the deleterious effects of the latter years of former mayor Sam Katz's final term in office.

Two years later, the RCMP are still investigating the construction of Winnipeg's new police headquarters and no city official, either departed or still employed, has been publicly censured for their roles in the construction of the police HQ, the procurement of four new fire-paramedic stations or the series of questionable real-estate transactions identified by a 2014 external audit.

Bowman has all but moved on. He cites investments in Winnipeg roads, rapid transit and active-transportation as the most significant accomplishments undertaken at city hall since he and seven other rookies took their seats on city council.

Mayor Brian Bowman, with air cadets in June. At the midpoint of his first term in office, Winnipeg's mayor has challenges lined up in the form of a tough budget season. (Tyson Koschik/CBC)
Like former mayors Katz and Glen Murray before him, the current mayor says Winnipeg has a new attitude.

"I also think the pride and confidence that Winnipeggers have in themselves and in the community has been enhanced and I'm working as hard as I can to really build on that pride. We're going to see it on full display this weekend at the [NHL] Heritage Classic," Bowman said outside his office at city hall, temporarily vacant due to renovations.

At the midpoint of this council term, it's worth taking a look at the best and worst of the Bowman administration during the two years in the rear-view mirror — as well as a peek at what lies ahead in the two years to go before the 2018 election.

1. Best move: Taking ownership of racism

Mere months after Bowman took office, Winnipeg took a reputational hit when Maclean's magazine declared the Manitoba capital Canada's most racist city.

Mayor Brian Bowman gathered community leaders around him in 2015 after Winnipeg was labelled Canada's most racist city. (CBC)
The mayor's initial reaction was anger, he revealed earlier this month. He also said he was urged to go on the offensive and "attack the messenger" or hide in his office until Winnipeg's most-racist status was just as forgotten as the most-corrupt-province tag afforded to Quebec by Maclean's several years beforehand.

Instead, Bowman chose to accept the obvious: the city with Canada's largest indigenous population suffers from both overt and institutional racism.

"There were things in the article and characterizations of Winnipeg that we could have challenged, but in my view, that wouldn't have allowed us to have the opportunity that we've had this year to really focus on trying to do a better job to combat racism," Bowman told reporters following an Oct. 6 speech.

Bowman went on to declare 2016 the year of reconciliation in Winnipeg. This is not just a symbolic gesture, as political leaders are capable of setting the tone for public discourse among all citizens of a given city, province, state or even country.

To see the opposite effect in action, consider the rise of racist rhetoric in the U.S. on the heels of anti-Muslim and anti-immigrant statements by Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump.

2. Worst blunder: Slamdancing with the one who brought you

Winnipeg Jets co-owner Mark Chipman is a quiet and understated businessperson who appears to appreciate the spotlight about as much as newborn kittens enjoy being doused with pitchers full of frigid water. 

That's why it was a big deal to see the True North Sports & Entertainment chairman endorse Bowman during the 2014 mayoral race — and an even bigger deal when the two men feuded publicly over the development of True North Square.

In January 2015, Bowman questioned the manner in which True North came to acquire an option to develop the former Carlton Inn site, which downtown development agency CentreVenture had acquired in order to make room for a hotel to serve an expanded RBC Convention Centre.

True North Sports and Entertainment executive chairman Mark Chipman took the unusual step of calling a press conference in 2017 to address comments made by Winnipeg's mayor. (CBC)
Escalating tensions between Bowman and Chipman finally culminated in a remarkable February 2015 press conference, in which Chipman revealed Bowman was made aware of True North's plans for the site months earlier — and threatened to pull the $400-million True North Square development off the table.

After a cooling-off period, the two men reconciled. Political popularity, it seemed, did not render the mayor invincible.

The first phase of the project is now under construction and plans are coming into place for the second phase. 

"The manner in which we got to the end result could have been done better, for sure," Bowman said this week.

​3. What lies ahead​

Well into his second year as mayor, Bowman continued to be very popular among Winnipeg voters, as a July 2016 Probe Research poll pegged his approval rating at 69 per cent.

How popular he remains may depend on what transpires over the next few weeks and months. First, council's pending approval of a Bowman-shepherded growth-fee proposal has angered an influential segment of his supporters: the property developers and construction-company owners who backed the Progressive Conservative mayoral candidate over the NDP-affiliated Wasylycia-Leis in 2014.

The arrival of the 2017 budget on Nov. 22 will reveal whether Bowman is capable of keeping his promise to limit property-tax hikes in Winnipeg to the rate of inflation. If he uses growth-fee revenue to keep property taxes down he runs the risk of angering an even broader constituency.

Winnipeg Mayor Brian Bowman said he is committed to removing the pedestrian barriers at Portage Avenue and Main Street. It's unclear whether he can meet his goal of reopening the intersection in 2017. (Marcy Markusa/CBC)
Another question mark for the budget is the presence of money to reopen Portage & Main to pedestrians, something the mayor said he would like to see happen in time for the 2017 summer games.

"That's a goal that I have, but it's not a hard and fast timeline. We'll have to see if it can be done," Bowman said this week.

The mayor said he has not yet seen the Portage & Main traffic study that was completed and handed over to senior city administrators in September. If he has not been briefed about the report at all, it would be difficult to incorporate money to reopen Portage & Main into the budget with only one month to go before its publication.

4. And who else is along for the ride?

On Nov. 2, city council holds its annual organizational meeting, a largely ceremonial event where councillors are assigned committee duties for the following year.

The midterm organizational-committee meeting is traditionally the point where Winnipeg mayors shake up the membership of executive policy committee, which functions as the mayor's cabinet and inner circle.

South Winnipeg-St. Norbert Coun. Janice Lukes is a candidate for removal, given her strong opposition to Bowman's growth-fee plan. She said this week she does not care whether or not she remains on EPC.

Transcona Coun. Russ Wyatt, meanwhile, is still pushing for the mayor to follow through on an election-campaign pledge to elect the members of EPC, at least in an informal setting. 

Wyatt, who is often Bowman's loudest critic at city hall, said the mayor wields too much power right now.

"You only have the mayor, his senior staff and administrators running the city. Everyone else is along for the ride," said Wyatt, who has authored a motion calling for a review of the way the city government is structured. "You have a system that divides and conquers council. The mayor never loses a vote."

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Bartley Kives

Senior reporter, CBC Manitoba

Bartley Kives joined CBC Manitoba in 2016. Prior to that, he spent three years at the Winnipeg Sun and 18 at the Winnipeg Free Press, writing about politics, music, food and outdoor recreation. He's the author of the Canadian bestseller A Daytripper's Guide to Manitoba: Exploring Canada's Undiscovered Province and co-author of both Stuck in the Middle: Dissenting Views of Winnipeg and Stuck In The Middle 2: Defining Views of Manitoba.