U.S. Federal Reserve cuts interest rates again
Trump re-election means different economic landscape for central bank to navigate
The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point on Thursday, as policymakers took note of a job market that has "generally eased," while inflation continues to move toward the central bank's two per cent target.
"Economic activity has continued to expand at a solid pace," the central bank's rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee said at the end of a two-day policy meeting in which officials lowered the benchmark overnight interest rate to the 4.50 per cent to 4.75 per cent range, as widely expected. The decision was unanimous.
But where the Fed's previous policy statement noted slowing monthly job gains, the new one referred to the labour market more broadly.
Even while the unemployment rate remains low, "labour market conditions have generally eased," the statement said.
Risks to the job market and inflation were "roughly in balance," the Fed said, repeating language from the statement released after its September meeting.
The new statement also slightly altered the reference to inflation, saying that price pressures had "made progress" toward the Fed's objective, rather than the prior language that it had "made further progress."
The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy items, a key gauge of inflation, has changed little in the last three months, running at a roughly 2.6 per cent annual rate as of September.
Trump promises could impact economic landscape
The Fed statement will be interpreted in light of Republican president-elect Donald Trump's return to power in January.
Trump, who defeated Democratic Vice-President Kamala Harris in Tuesday's U.S. presidential election, campaigned on promises ranging from steep tariffs on imports to a crackdown on immigration.
Those proposals could have a broad and unpredictable impact on the economic landscape, which the Fed will navigate in the coming months, as officials try to keep inflation contained and close to the central bank's target.
Following Trump's election victory, investors have already trimmed their own bets on the central bank being able to reduce interest rates as much as expected.
Fed chair Jerome Powell, who was appointed by Trump in his first term, then clashed with the then-president over rate policy in 2018 and 2019, held a news conference at 2:30 p.m. ET to elaborate on the policy statement and economic outlook.
In response to a reporter's question, Powell said the results of Tuesday's presidential election would have no "near-term" impact on U.S. monetary policy.
Powell plans to stay on as Fed chair
Powell said the Fed will continue assessing data to determine the "pace and destination" of interest rates as officials reset currently tight monetary policy to account for inflation that has slowed markedly in the past year.
But as the new administration's proposals take shape, the Fed chief said the central bank would begin estimating the impact on its twin goals of stable inflation and maximum employment.
"It's a process that takes some time," said Powell. "It's all of the policy changes that are happening. What's the net effect? The overall effect on the economy at a given time? That's a process … we go through all the time with every administration."
Trump indicated over the summer, and a CNN report on Thursday reaffirmed, that he would let Powell continue as Fed chief until the end of his current four-year term in May of 2026 — and Powell said bluntly on Thursday that he would not resign if asked.
The president, he said, had no authority under law to remove the head of the Fed, a position confirmed by the Senate, over a policy disagreement.
"Not permitted under the law," Powell said.