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Ontario home prices expected to rise moderately, declines unlikely to persist: CMHC

CMHC says a recent drop in Ontario home prices isn't expected to persist, as economic growth in the Greater Toronto Area and the province in general will provide support for real estate prices this year and next.

CMHC anticipates prospective buyers will face fewer bidding wars and feel less urgency to act

Close up of a home for sale sign.
CMHC says it expects inflation-adjusted home prices in Ontario will remain relatively stable and close to the levels of last year's fourth quarter. (Robson Fletcher/CBC)

A report by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. says a recent drop in Ontario home prices isn't expected to persist.

It says moderate economic growth in the Greater Toronto Area and Ontario generally will provide support for provincial real estate prices in 2018 and 2019.

"The current home price correction in Ontario will likely not persist as it fails to resemble the more serious downturns observed in the past," Ted Tsiakopoulos, Ontario regional economist for CMHC, said in a release. 

"While imbalances continue to persist, they are easing and fundamentals such as employment, growth in new households and slightly higher interest rates will support home prices."

CMHC expects inflation-adjusted home prices in the province will remain relatively stable and close to the levels of last year's fourth quarter.

It anticipates prospective buyers will face fewer bidding wars and feel less urgency to act, allowing them time for more informed decision making.

On the flip side, CMHC says home owners may see their properties on the market longer than usual.