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It took just 2 weeks for Syria's 50-year Assad regime to crumble. Here's how it happened

What happened in Syria is being called a seismic political shift. And if your head is spinning, that's because the events happened so quickly, they seemed to shift by the hour. CBC News breaks down what happened.

Bashar al-Assad fled the country on Sunday. Analysts say no one thought it could happen so fast

A woman waves a flag
A woman waves the flag of the Syrian rebels as people gather on Sunday in Umayyad Square, located in the Syrian capital of Damascus, to celebrate the fall of the government. (Ali Haj Suleiman/Getty Images)

What's happening in Syria right now? Only everything.

The events of the weekend and the weeks leading up to it are being called a seismic political shift. After years in which its 13-year civil war lay seemingly dormant, suddenly it wasn't. If your head is spinning, that's because the events in Syria happened so quickly.

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has fled to Russia. The doors to Syria's notorious prisons have been opened, its elated prisoners pouring out. Millions of refugees could finally go home from camps across Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan.

And people are celebrating around the world.

"It's tough to describe in words. What I'm hearing from my Syrian friends and colleagues is it feels like a dream. No one thought that this could happen so quickly," Nader Hashemi, director of the Alwaleed Center for Muslim-Christian Understanding at Georgetown University, told CBC's The Breakdown.

"It's simply astonishing. It's mind-boggling ... it's hard to process, in fact," added Steven Heydemann with the Brookings Institute's Centre for Middle East Policy. 

So forgive yourself if you're struggling to catch up, and allow CBC News to break it down for you.

WATCH | CBC breaks down the events in Syria: 

The Breakdown | What Assad’s fall means for Syria and the Middle East

13 days ago
Duration 19:42
As Syrian rebels outline their vision for the future of the country, The National breaks down what reignited the fighting, and what the stunning collapse of the decades-old Assad regime means for Syria, the region, and the world.

What happened this weekend?

Syrian rebels from the south of the country, emboldened by the success of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), a former al-Qaeda affiliate that earlier captured Aleppo, Homs and other key cities, reached Damascus over the weekend and together with HTS seized control of the capital.

Assad fled the country on Sunday, bringing to a dramatic close his nearly 14-year struggle to hold on to control as the country fragmented in a brutal civil war that became a proxy battlefield for regional and international powers.

The Kremlin said on Monday that Russia has granted political asylum to Assad.

Assad's overthrow, which appeared unthinkable just two weeks ago, raised hopes for a more peaceful future but also concerns about a potential security vacuum in the country, which is still split among armed groups.

A man walks in an urban environment underneath a platform that houses a billboard, which depicts a mustached man.
A defaced portrait of late Syrian president Hafez al-Assad stands above a ransacked government security facility in Damascus on Sunday. (Rami al Sayed/Getty Images)

What is the HTS?

The jihadist group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, or HTS, was formerly the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda and known as the Nusra Front. HTS later distanced itself from al-Qaeda, seeking to market itself as a more moderate group. It is classed as a terrorist group by the United Nations, Canada and the U.S.

HTS leader Ahmed al-Sharaa, better known as Abu Mohammed Al-Golani, met overnight with Syrian Prime Minister Mohammed Ghazi Jalali, and Vice-President Faisal Mekdad to discuss arrangements for a transitional government, a source familiar with the discussions told Reuters.

Al-Golani, who spent years in U.S. custody as an insurgent in Iraq but later broke with al-Qaeda and ISIS, has vowed to rebuild Syria.

"A new history, my brothers, is being written in the entire region after this great victory," he told a huge crowd at the Umayyad Mosque in Damascus on Sunday.

WATCH | HTS just 1 of several rebel groups that will be vying for power: 

Prominent Syrian rebel leader would have work to do to consolidate power, ex-U.S. ambassador says

13 days ago
Duration 1:12
Robert Ford, U.S. ambassador to Syria from 2011 to 2014, says that Abu Mohammed al-Golani, leader of the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham alliance, is a prominent player but represents one of several factions in a fractured Syria.

HTS and Al-Golani have worked to "professionalize" the rebel force, said Broderick McDonald, an associate fellow at the International Centre for the Study of Radicalization at the University of Oxford.

That helped prepare them for this moment, McDonald told CBC News Network Sunday. "And then it was just a matter of the right timing and the right opportunity for the group to really break out of its enclave."

What was the civil war?

Remember the Arab Spring?

In 2011, Syria was rocked by anti-Assad protests, inspired by the Arab Spring, anti-regime demonstrations that began in Tunisia and spread across several Arab countries, including Egypt, Libya and Yemen.

A group of protestors
In this Jan. 29, 2011, photo, anti-government protesters gather in Cairo's Tahrir Square. That year, an uprising in Tunisia opened the way for a wave of popular revolts against authoritarian rulers across the Middle East known as the Arab Spring. (Ben Curtis/AP)

Assad and his family had ruled Syria for more than 50 years. Since he took over as president in 2000 after his father's death, the UN says, Assad's forces have killed more than 350,000 opponents, jailed and tortured thousands more and used banned nerve gas on opposition towns to deter any challengers to his rule.

Anti-government protests in 2011 met with a brutal crackdown, escalating into a civil war that has killed more than half a million people and displaced half of Syria's pre-war population of 23 million. Assad, backed by Iran and Russia, gradually regained control of more than two-thirds of Syria, leaving the rebels with a stronghold in the northwest of the country.

And there the conflict remained for years, until late November. 

When did the rebel offensive begin?

On Nov. 27, armed opposition groups led by HTS launched a large-scale attack on areas controlled by government forces in northwestern Syria and claimed to have wrested control of over 15 villages from government forces in northwestern Aleppo province.

The government and its allies responded with airstrikes and shelling in an attempt to halt the insurgent advances.

The attack on Aleppo followed weeks of simmering, low-level violence, including government attacks on opposition-held areas.

On Nov. 29, the insurgents entered Aleppo, Syria's second-largest city, for the first time since being pushed out in 2016. They were met with little resistance. By Nov. 30, the rebels said they controlled Aleppo, raising a flag over the city's citadel and occupying the international airport. 

By that evening, the insurgents seized at least four towns in the central Hama province and claimed to have entered the provincial capital. The Syrian government launched a counterattack Dec. 1 but received little support from its allies.

Over the next few days, the insurgents captured Hama and Homs, the fourth- and third-largest cities. As they advanced, Iran, a crucial backer, along with Russia, of Assad's regime, began pulling out its military personnel.

By Sunday, the rebel forces had taken the capital, Damascus.

What's happening in Syria now?

Damascus was quiet on Monday, with life slowly returning to normal. Most shops and public institutions were closed. In public squares, some people were still celebrating. Busy traffic returned to the streets and people ventured out after a nighttime curfew. Rebels milled about in the centre.

Syria's prime minister said Monday that most cabinet ministers are still working from offices in Damascus. Jalali, the prime minister, remained in his post after Assad and most of his top officials vanished over the weekend and has sought to project normalcy.

A girls walks on a poster while holding a drink
A Syrian girl steps on a picture of ousted Assad in Damascus on Monday. (Omar Sanadiki/The Associated Press)

He said the government is co-ordinating with the insurgents, and that he is ready to meet rebel leader Al-Golani.

It's not clear who is in charge.

"There's a lot of uncertainty about what's coming next," Stephen Sakalian, head of the International Committee of the Red Cross in Syria, told CBC News Network.

"Here is Damascus, there is a certain normalcy ... but a lot of questions are remaining among the population."

WATCH | What happens to Syria now? 

Bashar al-Assad’s regime has fallen: What’s next for Syria?

13 days ago
Duration 2:27
The Syrian government collapsed early Sunday. CBC’s Briar Stewart breaks down what happened and what this could mean for the future of the country and conflict in the Middle East.

What about the prisons?

Meanwhile, elated inmates are pouring out of jails. Assad's police state was known for generations as one of the harshest in the Middle East, holding hundreds of thousands of political prisoners. 

Just north of Damascus in the Saydnaya military prison, which is known as the "human slaughterhouse," women detainees, some with their children, screamed as men broke the locks off their cell doors.

Tens of thousands of detainees have so far been freed, said Rami Abdurrahman of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based pro-opposition war monitor.

"I am feeling extreme joy to see the dictator and his party ... he's gone. He's gone," Omar Alshogre, a former Syrian political prisoner, told CBC News Network Monday.

"Now, it's our responsibility as Syrians to show the world that we actually wanted to have freedom and democracies."

WATCH | Prisoner who escaped torture in Assad's prison system describes joy of watching regime fall: 

Freedom from Assad is ‘worth everything,’ says former prisoner who escaped torture in Syria

13 days ago
Duration 9:16
WARNING: This video includes a description of torture. Omar Alshogre, a former Syrian political prisoner who escaped starvation and torture in Bashar al-Assad’s prison system, says the joy he felt watching the regime crumble is worth 'all the pain, all the suffering, all the fear, all the disappointment, all the betrayal.’

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Natalie Stechyson

Senior Writer & Editor

Natalie Stechyson has been a writer and editor at CBC News since 2021. She covers stories on social trends, families, gender, human interest, as well as general news. She's worked as a journalist since 2009, with stints at the Globe and Mail and Postmedia News, among others. Before joining CBC News, she was the parents editor at HuffPost Canada, where she won a silver Canadian Online Publishing Award for her work on pregnancy loss. You can reach her at natalie.stechyson@cbc.ca.

With files from Chris Brown, the Associated Press and Reuters