Nobel in economics 2015: Angus Deaton of Princeton wins for work on poverty

Deaton spearheaded use of household survey data in developing countries to measure living standard

Image | Angus Deaton

Caption: Princeton University professor Angus Deaton has won the 2015 Nobel prize in economic sciences, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences announced on Monday, Oct. 12, 2015. (Legatum Institute)

British-born economist Angus Deaton has won the 2015 Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel for his work on consumption, poverty and welfare that has helped governments to improve policy through tools such as household surveys and tax changes.
The current upwards trends in inequality are very worrying in many contexts around the world.
- Angus Deaton, British-born Princeton professor, Nobel in economics winner
The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences said the microeconomist's work had been a major influence on policy
making, helping for example to determine how different social groups are affected by specific changes in taxation.
Deaton, 69, was born in Edinburgh but now works at Princeton University in New Jersey. He holds both U.S. and British citizenship.

"To design economic policy that promotes welfare and reduces poverty, we must first understand individual consumption choices," the award-giving body said in announcing the eight million Swedish crown ($978,000 US) prize.

"More than anyone else, Angus Deaton has enhanced this understanding," it said.

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Deaton, 69, has spearheaded the use of household survey data in developing countries, especially data on consumption, to measure living standards and poverty, the academy said.
Deaton looks at economic development from the starting point of consumption rather than income, wrote Tyler Cowen, economics professor at George Mason University and blogger.
"Think of Deaton as an economist who looks more closely at what poor households consume to get a better sense of their living standards and possible paths for economic development," Cowen wrote on the blog Marginal Revolution.
"I think of this as a prize about empirics, the importance of economic development, and indirectly a prize about economic history," Cowen wrote.

'Not out of the woods yet'

In his first public comments after winning the Nobel prize, Deaton said that, while extreme poverty has fallen sharply in
the last 20 to 30 years and that he expected this trend to continue, he did not want to sound like a "blind optimist."

"While I expect things to get better, you have to keep remembering that we are not out of the woods yet and that for
many, many people in the world, things are very bad indeed," Deaton told a press conference by telephone.
"I think the current upwards trends in inequality are very worrying in many contexts around the world," he added.
Those contexts include climate change and politics, Deaton said in a later news conference at Princeton University, where he is professor of economics and international affairs.
"I do worry about a world in which the rich get to write the rules," said Deaton.
Deaton also linked inequality and slower economic growth to a "terrifying increase" in middle-aged mortality in the United States, which he is currently studying.
In one key work, "The Great Escape; Health, Wealth and the Origins of Inequality," Deaton describes the huge increase in global prosperity in the past two centuries, underpinned by medical and technological advances, but also looks in depth at the inequalities to which that progress has given rise.
Deaton developed a system for estimating how the demand for each good depends on the prices of all goods and on individual incomes, now a standard tool for researchers and in practical policy evaluation the academy said.

"Assume the government wants to change a tax like the VAT on food or gasoline or something, or to change income taxes. How will that affect demand for different commodities? How will that affect welfare for different groups in society?," Mats Persson, a member of the Nobel in economics awarding committee, told Reuters.
Monday's announcement concludes this year's presentations of Nobel winners.
The awards will be handed out on Dec. 10, the anniversary of prize founder Alfred Nobel's death in 1896, at lavish ceremonies in Stockholm and Oslo.