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Will Trump's Supreme Court pick get the job? What you need to know about the Gorsuch hearing

After weeks of careful preparation, President Donald Trump's nominee for the Supreme Court, Neil Gorsuch, will have his first confirmation hearing on Capitol Hill. Here's what you need to know about the process and what's at stake.

Neil Gorsuch has had weeks to prepare for the grilling he'll get from senators

The Senate's confirmation hearing for Supreme Court nominee Neil Gorsuch begins Monday. (J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press)

After weeks of lobbying, ads, applause and attacks, U.S. President Donald Trump's pick for the Supreme Court is ready for the spotlight in the Senate. 

Trump nominated Neil Gorsuch on Jan. 31 to fill the Supreme Court seat left vacant by Justice Antonin Scalia's unexpected death last year.

Since then, Gorsuch's fans and critics have been working hard to make their respective cases and he's been carefully preparing for his big day. Today, he'll have the chance to speak for himself when he's grilled by members of the Senate judiciary committee at his confirmation hearing.

How judges get appointed to the highest legal bench in the country is vastly different in the U.S. than in Canada. Here's a look at how the battle — and it is a battle — over the U.S Supreme Court is unfolding and what's at stake not just for Gorsuch, but for Democrats, Republicans, Trump and the legal landscape south of the border.

How does the confirmation process work?

The Senate judiciary committee holds hearings and then sends its recommendation to the full Senate for debate.

Democrats may choose to filibuster, meaning one senator may stall the debate by refusing to yield the floor. To force an end to a filibuster there has to be a vote for closure, which would limit the time left for debate.
The Supreme Court is just across the street from Capitol Hill, where justices must be confirmed by the Senate in order to get the job. (Yuri Gripas/Reuters)

It takes 60 votes, a "supermajority," for that to pass. There are 52 Republican senators so they'd have to convince eight from the other side of the aisle to keep the Gorsuch train rolling. There are 46 Democrats and two independents who tend to vote with them.

When debate ends, there is a final vote and 51 votes are needed to confirm the nominee.

What is the 'nuclear option?'

If Republicans can't get eight votes to end a filibuster they can use what's known as the "nuclear option." That means changing the Senate rules so that only a majority, not a supermajority, is needed to end the filibuster and confirm Gorsuch. They'd rather not go this route. Changing Senate rules is a significant move.

If Democrats don't filibuster, Republicans won't have to decide whether to go nuclear — but Trump urged them to do it if necessary.

Why is this such a battle?

Filling a vacancy is a big deal because the Supreme Court has the power to make major decisions that affect the lives of Americans and the laws by which they must abide.

There are nine justices and they are generally viewed as either liberal or conservative. Democrats and Republicans want judges on the bench that they think would uphold their agendas, so when there is a chance to fill an opening, it becomes a political struggle.
President Barack Obama named Merrick Garland his pick for the Supreme Court on March 16, 2016. Republicans refused to hold a confirmation hearing because of the upcoming election. (Pablo Martinez Monsivais/Associated Press)

The battle over this open seat started last March when President Barack Obama nominated Merrick Garland and the Republican majority in the Senate refused to hold a nomination hearing. They argued that because the election was a few months away, the next president should get to choose the nominee. The political calculation paid off when Trump won.

Some liberals are angry and bitter that Garland didn't get his shot, and feel like the seat was stolen from them. They view putting up a fight over Gorsuch as a chance for payback and they're pressuring Democratic senators to resist his nomination. The senators don't want to appear weak so they might make a fuss, but will they go so far as to launch a filibuster? They haven't committed to blocking or supporting Gorsuch.

What's the line of attack from Democrats?

"Neil Gorsuch may act like a neutral, calm judge, but his record and his career clearly show he harbours a right-wing, pro-corporation, special-interest agenda," Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer said at a news conference last week, summarizing how Democrats are portraying Gorsuch. Democrats also argue he poses a threat to women's reproductive rights.
Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer has accused Gorsuch of being a judge who sides with corporations instead of everyday Americans. (J. Scott Applewhite/Associated Press)

Schumer brought with him several people who say they were hurt by some of Gorsuch's rulings, including truck driver Alphonse Maddin. He took his company to court after he was fired in 2009 for abandoning his trailer in subzero temperatures while waiting for a repair. He won his case but Gorsuch wrote a dissenting opinion and Maddin told reporters it concerns him that he's the Supreme Court nominee.

It's all part of the public relations battle that occurs with Supreme Court nominations in the U.S. Liberal and conservative groups raised millions of dollars to advocate for and against Gorsuch.

How will Republicans defend Gorsuch?

Republicans were happy with Trump's choice, praising Gorsuch as someone with an impressive intellect, solid conservative credentials and great respect for the constitution. 

Politico reports that at least 10 Senate staff will operate a "war room" during the hearing and the Republican National Committee will also have one to help pump out instant reactions to what's said at the hearing.

How has Gorsuch prepared for the hearing?

Gorsuch immediately began a charm offensive on Capitol Hill after Trump nominated him. He met privately with 72 senators. The meet-and-greets were a chance to get acquainted but also for Gorsuch to get an idea of what questions he'll be asked at the hearing.

He reviewed his rulings to refresh his memory, knowing he'll be asked to explain and even defend some of them. He's spent a decade as a judge on the Denver-based U.S. Court of Appeals for the 10th Circuit and been part of major cases with national impact including one known as the Hobby Lobby case, which had to do with religious liberty and whether companies have to pay for contraception under their employees' health plans. 
Democrat Senator Bob Casey shares a laugh with Gorsuch during a meeting on Capitol Hill on Feb. 16. Gorsuch met with dozens of senators in preparation for his confirmation hearing. (Susan Walsh/Associated Press)

Gorsuch also reviewed past nomination hearings and participated in mock hearings for practise.

If he gets the job, he'd be reaching the pinnacle of his legal career at only 49 years old. It's a lifetime appointment. (Canada's Supreme Court justices must retire at 75.)

What's at stake for Trump?

Trump promised during the campaign that he'd pick someone who is anti-abortion and as conservative as Scalia. Some conservatives, who otherwise weren't fans of Trump, voted for him because of those pledges. Getting Gorsuch on the bench allows Trump to cross another campaign promise off his list.

The Supreme Court is destined to rule on parts of Trump's agenda over the coming years. His opponents are already fighting him in court over his travel ban and could take him to court on other issues including environmental protection laws, LGBTQ rights and abortion.
President Donald Trump shakes hands with Gorsuch after nominating him for the Supreme Court on Jan. 31. Trump promised during the campaign to pick someone conservative. (Carolyn Kaster/Associated Press)

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Meagan Fitzpatrick is a multiplatform reporter with CBC News in Toronto. She joined the CBC in 2011 and previously worked in the Parliament Hill and Washington bureaus. She has also reported for the CBC from Hong Kong. Meagan started her career as a print reporter in Ottawa.